klotz: bayesian statistics*

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  1. Strong statistical understanding is crucial for data scientists to interpret results accurately, avoid misleading conclusions, and make informed decisions. It's a foundational skill that complements technical programming abilities.

    * **Statistical vs. Practical Significance:** Don't automatically act on statistically significant results. Consider if the effect size is meaningful in a real-world context and impacts business goals.
    * **Sampling Bias:** Be aware that your dataset is rarely a perfect representation of the population. Identify potential biases in data collection that could skew results.
    * **Confidence Intervals:** Report ranges (confidence intervals) alongside point estimates to communicate the uncertainty of your data. Larger intervals indicate a need for more data.
    * **Interpreting P-Values:** A p-value indicates the probability of observing your results *if* the null hypothesis is true, *not* the probability the hypothesis is true. Always report alongside effect sizes.
    * **Type I & Type II Errors:** Understand the risks of false positives (Type I) and false negatives (Type II) in statistical testing. Sample size impacts the likelihood of Type II errors.
    * **Correlation vs. Causation:** Correlation does not equal causation. Identify potential confounding variables that might explain observed relationships. Randomized experiments (A/B tests) are best for establishing causation.
    * **Curse of Dimensionality:** Adding more features doesn't always improve model performance. High dimensionality can lead to data sparsity, overfitting, and reduced model accuracy. Feature selection and dimensionality reduction techniques are important.

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