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The article discusses the credibility of using Random Forest Variable Importance for identifying causal links in data where the output is binary. It contrasts this method with fitting a Logistic Regression model and examining its coefficients. The discussion highlights the challenges of extracting causality from observational data without controlled experiments, emphasizing the importance of domain knowledge and the use of partial dependence plots for interpreting model results.
This article explains how adding monotonic constraints to traditional ML models can make them more reliable for causal inference, illustrated with a real estate example.
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