AAAI survey finds that most respondents are sceptical that the technology underpinning large-language models is sufficient for artificial general intelligence.
"More than three-quarters of respondents said that enlarging current AI systems ― an approach that has been hugely successful in enhancing their performance over the past few years ― is unlikely to lead to what is known as artificial general intelligence (AGI). An even higher proportion said that neural networks, the fundamental technology behind generative AI, alone probably cannot match or surpass human intelligence. And the very pursuit of these capabilities also provokes scepticism: less than one-quarter of respondents said that achieving AGI should be the core mission of the AI research community.
Google co-founder Sergey Brin has called for the company to 'turbocharge' its efforts in the race to achieve Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), citing increased competition and the need for more efficient use of AI in coding and productivity.
"The other ingredient is a call for employees to double down on their work. This includes a recommendation of “being in the office at least every weekday” and that “60 hours a week is the sweet spot of productivity,” while warning that more might result in burnout. "
Zvi discusses AI, alignment, geopolitics, and more on Dwarksh Patel's podcast with Leopold Aschenbrenner. Topics include the timeline for AI development, the intelligence explosion, the geopolitics of AGI, and more.
